My Photo

Ordering Information

Tomi on Twitter is @tomiahonen

  • Follow Tomi on Twitter as @tomiahonen
    Follow Tomi's Twitterfloods on all matters mobile, tech and media. Tomi has over 8,000 followers and was rated by Forbes as the most influential writer on mobile related topics

Book Tomi T Ahonen to Speak at Your Event

  • Contact Tomi T Ahonen for Speaking and Consulting Events
    Please write email to tomi (at) tomiahonen (dot) com and indicate "Speaking Event" or "Consulting Work" or "Expert Witness" or whatever type of work you would like to offer. Tomi works regularly on all continents

Tomi on Video including his TED Talk

  • Tomi on Video including his TED Talk
    See Tomi on video from several recent keynote presentations and interviews, including his TED Talk in Hong Kong about Augmented Reality as the 8th Mass Media


Blog powered by Typepad

« Final Score on Most Important Forecast of 2011 - Once Again Tomi Ahonen Most Accurate Forecaster in Mobile (Nokia, Lumia, Windows) | Main | Nokia Disaster Told One Picture at a Time: Today Picture 7: When is a Platform "Burning": The Test Of CEO Sanity (alternately titled:) Is Elop Really This Delusional? »

January 29, 2013


Earendil Star

OK, I start: September 30, 2013.

After an endless three year manure tenure.

Tomi T Ahonen

I didn't mean for entries to be given this way, Earendil, via the blog - but its ok, I'll take it and enter you, thanks.

I am actually closing the contest on Twitter in some hours, so if anyone else wants to enter via the blog, please hurry...

Tomi Ahonen :-)

Tomi T Ahonen

you're in John

Tomi :-)

So Vatar

I fear the worst:
Jan 15 2014 it is when Flop leaves, just after Nokia announced another drop in smartphone market share and Goldman Sucks got the task to sell what's left of Nokia.


Feb 1,2013. No reason for the date, just wishful thinking.

Tomi T Ahonen

Got you both, So Vatar and new_guy

Tomi :-)

Interested to know

Is there any indication that the people who matter are finally fed up with him?

I mean Nokia has already spun their dismal quarter that had both the WP8 launch AND Christmas so that people believe it was a success. They also warned next quarter was going to be bad so people won't expect much then.

Will they spin it as genius Elop rescued Nokia from the burning Symbian platform and now that his visionary plan has been executed, some fresh blood needs to come in to keep Nokia on this course?


13 September 2013. If That's any time near the Q3 report.


Would you, Tomi clarify one thing, just to avoid unnecessary discussions.

"Or if Nokia is split in two, with two CEO's - then that is the date."

You don't count NSN becoming a separate company such a case? They already have a CEO and one might assume that if NSN's becomes fully independent, Suri will (?) continue there and Elop would continue with what's left of Nokia.


I don't think Stephen Elop will be sacked and he will stay on board until Nokia is safely driven into the ground. If the BOD was working for the interest of Nokia, then he would have been sacked long ago.


My pick is Feb 11th 2013.


Dear Tomi,

Please clarify why do you consider only Elop has to be fired (or resign) after this disaster? Has he taken all this crazy decisions by himself? Nobody else is to blaim and also has to step down?
It seems to me that his departure will make him look like a scape goat, when the entire board backed his decisions.


Elop will leave when Nokia will run out of money...

When will it happen ? Hard to say.

But if I had to bet on one date, I would say one week before Q4-2013 results... so it should be in the 2014 Jan 13-19th... so Let's say Jan 13th, to not copy So Vatar ;)


Nobody will fire Elop anytime soon.

Microsoft and American funds control today Nokia, like they did 2 years ago.

Elop is doing an excellent job for Microsoft, in 2013, is looking that with micro sales of 6m Lumia per quarter Nokia will have to pay Microsoft offsetting the 250m support that did cost billions of losses in Nokia balances.

Without Nokia Windows Phone will be dead already.
Microsoft with surface tablet shows that alone has no hope to sales any decent amount of devices.

Elop will stay much longer as you think



ps: Only way to get rid of Elop would be a miracle from Finnish Justice Department : investigate and imprison the criminal CEO

Tomi T Ahonen

Ok gang

The contest entry time is now closed. All who entered before this comment are in - including Tired, Michael and vladkr, but anyone submitting an entry after this comment will be ignored sorry. the contest is now closed. good luck to all who entered

Tomi Ahonen :-)


I'm surprised to see that some didn't answer the contest (E. Murtazin and other specialists), neither have I seen your answer Tomi :

- they didn't have time to answer?
- too hard to answer?
- refused to answer for some other reason?

But I agree with Elm that Elop will remain on position while Nokia survives.

However, I don't think a miracle can come from Finland, as Finnish authorities can't do anything (Nokia is a private company). The only ones who can do anything are Stock Exchange authorities, but that's only if they can prove there's insider trading (which is quite hard, even if only one knows the facts exist)


It's still 29th Jan here in Finland, so I go with 15/7/2013 :)


15 March 2015. too late :(

Come on, Toi. Elop is good at his "job", he is executing the prime directive.
"Promote Window Phone by any means necessary"
Even if it means promoting competiton's WinPho, running Nokia to the ground, giving IP away...

I imagine he made many one-sided contracts with Microsoft. He leaves his position when MS loses interest in Nokia.

Wayne Borean

January 1, 2020.

I think the board is locked in mentally, and will hang on to him until he dies, retires, or Nokia goes bankrupt.


Wayne Borean

Someone posted this on Groklaw - first here is the link:

And here is the text:


Windows phone compared to two generation old HTC

Authored by: kg on Tuesday, January 29 2013 @ 02:27 AM EST

Things must be really desperate in Redmond. I recently received an email from Windows Phone Insider. They linked a video demonstrating how much better the Nokia Lumea 920 is at taking video. The odd thing about it is that they compared it to a discontinued (!) 2 generation old HTC Inspire 4G released February 2011.

Now granted, Microsoft released the video last November. But really? Comparing a current phone to a model almost 2 years old? I'd expect better. It shouldn't be about the upgrade path. Everyone expects something better from a newer phone. Is the Lumea really so bad that they don't dare face it off against a current model?

Link to video here

Linguist and Open Source Developer


Since I don't know how to make links work here, the text about a link above means this YouTube video:



The comments to this entry are closed.

Available for Consulting and Speakerships

  • Available for Consulting & Speaking
    Tomi Ahonen is a bestselling author whose twelve books on mobile have already been referenced in over 100 books by his peers. Rated the most influential expert in mobile by Forbes in December 2011, Tomi speaks regularly at conferences doing about 20 public speakerships annually. With over 250 public speaking engagements, Tomi been seen by a cumulative audience of over 100,000 people on all six inhabited continents. The former Nokia executive has run a consulting practise on digital convergence, interactive media, engagement marketing, high tech and next generation mobile. Tomi is currently based out of Helsinki but supports Fortune 500 sized companies across the globe. His reference client list includes Axiata, Bank of America, BBC, BNP Paribas, China Mobile, Emap, Ericsson, Google, Hewlett-Packard, HSBC, IBM, Intel, LG, MTS, Nokia, NTT DoCoMo, Ogilvy, Orange, RIM, Sanomamedia, Telenor, TeliaSonera, Three, Tigo, Vodafone, etc. To see his full bio and his books, visit Tomi Ahonen lectures at Oxford University's short courses on next generation mobile and digital convergence. Follow him on Twitter as @tomiahonen. Tomi also has a Facebook and Linked In page under his own name. He is available for consulting, speaking engagements and as expert witness, please write to tomi (at) tomiahonen (dot) com

Tomi's eBooks on Mobile Pearls

  • Pearls Vol 1: Mobile Advertising
    Tomi's first eBook is 171 pages with 50 case studies of real cases of mobile advertising and marketing in 19 countries on four continents. See this link for the only place where you can order the eBook for download

Tomi Ahonen Almanac 2009

  • Tomi Ahonen Almanac 2009
    A comprehensive statistical review of the total mobile industry, in 171 pages, has 70 tables and charts, and fits on your smartphone to carry in your pocket every day.

Alan's Third Book: No Straight Lines

Tomi's Fave Twitterati