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November 09, 2012


Wayne Borean

The Bibe according to TechEye: Ye Book of Elop




@Mats: not exactly the case but there's now

newbie reader

Forecasts for top 5 smartphone manufactures, Q4 and next year.

1. Samsung
2. Apple
3. Huawei
4. Lenovo
5. LG

Why Lenovo for no.4? They´ve made it to the 4-9 pack on chinese sales only. To leapfrog the rest of the pack they just need to repeat the same in some 3rd world countries like India, Russia etc. Something they´re already doing.

Why LG for no.5?
It´s less probable and less obvious, see my prev. post here:

there i did market trends scetch, more of this below.

The following are three recent market trends behind the companies:

1. Innovation trend and raise of new OSes. (Apple, HTC)
Apple iOS and HTC (Hero etc.) on Android side.
Trend is almost over now, smartphone is essentially invented.

2. Parts manufacturer trend. (Samsung, LG)
It all started with Apple bulling Samsung and other part suppliers, to squeeze the profits. Would Apple keep Samsung happy by sharing some of its megaprofits, it all could go some other way.

But now, when Samsung tried to sell its parts by selling its own phones and succeeded tremendously, there is no way back. Other part manufacturers follow this way.

This is strongest trend currently, and the reason to bet on LG for separating itself from the pack and make it into top 5. This trend also could elevate the likes of Sharp.

3. Commonity trend. (ZTE, Lenovo)

This is the most recent trend behind the rise of ZTE and most recently, Lenovo.

Huawei belongs somewhere in between trend 2 and trend 3.
They are chinese smarphone commodity seller like ZTE and Lenovo,
but they also aspire to follow Samsung business model when possible.

ZTE would do number 5 if this newest trend overrule samsung trend. But not further, even now ZTE growth on this trend is cut by stronger players, Lenovo and Huawei

Sony are "old school business", like Moto, who nevertheless tries to do something on all the trends (see their recent plans on buying chinese phones for resale)
One can put Sony and Moto on "trend 0" line for the sake of classification.

RIM is in safe tiny haven of alternative OS. They would not sink, but would not go up either. The only thing that could damage them is some takeover operation, like with Nokia. But here their tiny-ness protect them, predators just do not care about their lot.

Sadly, it is HTC that looks like next most probable victum of Tomi Ahonen´s cliff theory. They do not have any other business, and their trend is over. They´ve got only their brand, not backed by anything else. However, they can team up with some of their numerous taiwanese buddies like asus acer mediatek etc.

Nokia have to do something besides WP8 or die.

bubblegum necklace beads

Jums noteikti ir dažas patīkams viedokli un uzskatus. Jūsu emuārs sniedz svaigu apskatīt subject.Have esat domājuši par ieviešot dažas sociālās Grāmatzīmes pogas, lai šos blogus. Vismaz google.I patiešām novērtējam rakstus par jūsu mājas lapā. Jūs darāt naudas sodu darbu! Thanks daudz.


Business and marketing challenges for the 21st century is a book about how the new phenomenon of digitally connected communities.


Very nice phone.


BTW... a rather old news, but that I missed... Nokia cuts jobs even in China :

How bad situation can be if they fire Chinese workers ?

V-pills Faydaları

Yes, The Big Triad (E///, Moto and Nokia) is fading away... :-(
E/// out of handset game, Moto is out of Top10, Nokia is #10!

smart phone

When someone writes an article he/she keeps the image of a user in his/her brain that how a user can know it. So that's why this post is perfect. Thanks!


All things being even, most would opt for the better fuel right. I count them as 4 even though he explained them as 5 because one of the rules is you have to stuff your face with junk once a week on your cheat day. If you make a solid commitment, you will have the necessary desire to overcome that adversity and keep pushing on.

Oneplus 4

MS seems to have given up on smartphones. They now will deliver a version of Office for Android and iOS.

That was their last card in the game. And rather than lose Office to a Google/Apple competitor they throw WP8 for the bus.


XiaoMi is number 4 i think

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    Tomi Ahonen is a bestselling author whose twelve books on mobile have already been referenced in over 100 books by his peers. Rated the most influential expert in mobile by Forbes in December 2011, Tomi speaks regularly at conferences doing about 20 public speakerships annually. With over 250 public speaking engagements, Tomi been seen by a cumulative audience of over 100,000 people on all six inhabited continents. The former Nokia executive has run a consulting practise on digital convergence, interactive media, engagement marketing, high tech and next generation mobile. Tomi is currently based out of Helsinki but supports Fortune 500 sized companies across the globe. His reference client list includes Axiata, Bank of America, BBC, BNP Paribas, China Mobile, Emap, Ericsson, Google, Hewlett-Packard, HSBC, IBM, Intel, LG, MTS, Nokia, NTT DoCoMo, Ogilvy, Orange, RIM, Sanomamedia, Telenor, TeliaSonera, Three, Tigo, Vodafone, etc. To see his full bio and his books, visit Tomi Ahonen lectures at Oxford University's short courses on next generation mobile and digital convergence. Follow him on Twitter as @tomiahonen. Tomi also has a Facebook and Linked In page under his own name. He is available for consulting, speaking engagements and as expert witness, please write to tomi (at) tomiahonen (dot) com

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