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May 06, 2012



Wow... APAC developing percentage is really high in QR and also in social networking.

Francisco Moreno

I was hoping you'd speak a bit more about the decline of BBM, and the ascent of WhatsApp, Viber, Skype, and iMessage as texting platforms.

With regard to genuine, normal human beings scanning and using QR codes, I think the definitive blog is:


@Baron95 - and there comes the decline of the operator "orifices" that Jobs railed on about.

So Vatar

these are comments coming from your side that I like much more, more content instead of arrogance.

I largely agree with your comments, but there is one issue that won't go away that easily, at least here in the USA with the monopolized carriers:
In order to do the IP based things you describe you do need a data connection. And the spectrum is owned by the carriers. So, logically they will shift their revenue (and profits) from "legacy cell phone functions" to IP based revenues using their spectrum. There is technology available to determine (via package inspection) which services are used over their networks (IP call, IP messaging, browsing, etc). The revenue shift is already under way, as unlimited data plans went away, carriers disallow certain services (tethering) etc. So, our great monopolized carriers will not go away without a fight as long as wireless spectrum is rare and in their hands.

Of course consumers hqve a way around it: Forgo the wireless 24 month contract data plan and use the smartphone data connections primarily on WiFi. Further proliferation of WiFi hotspots - which already are available at home, at many work places, some public transport systems, and many businesses (Starbucks, coffee shops, hotels etc) in addition to an optional supplemental on demand carrier data connection (usage based) are a possibility for consumers to get many of the benefits of an expensive data plan for a fraction of the cost.
Now, if one has to be connected all the time in order to check facebook and check in with foursquare, then you need AT&T, they will take care that your wallet doesn't get too heavy.

Additionally I see an opening forming to disrupt the legacy carriers. We'll see how this will turn out and who the disruptor will be.

So Vatar

Isn't that what I said? No?


I have to say,I dont know if its the clashing colours or the bad grammar, but this blog is hideous! I mean, I dont want to sound like a know-it-all or anything, but could you have possibly put a little bit more effort into this subject. Its really interesting, but you dont represent it well at all, man.

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Nokia is bankrupt; here's why:
- Pending massive costs associated with future layoffs at Nokia (my very optimistic estimate is around 4 billion Euro?),
- Massive costs associated with NSN failure including pending layoffs (2 billion Euro?),
- Pension fund costs (1 billion Euro?)
- Pending tablet failure (1 billion Euro?)
Now just add up cash Nokia will burn each Q due to failed Windows Phone strategy (1B euro / Q?) with falling Symbian sales and bankruptcy is guaranteed. It is also unlikely that anyone will acquire Nokia. Google/Apple or Microsoft would only be interested in patents and certainly would not like to deal with closing Nokia factories, dealing with thousands of NSN employees (especially unions) and various other liabilities. This is the same reason why they couldn't sell NSN despite being desperate. Sorry to say, but Nokia is already gone. It's sad to watch. Tomi's strategy to save Nokia could probably help to recover this company up to last month, but now it is too late and everything will pretty much end on July 19, unless they'll take WorldCom path.

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    Tomi Ahonen is a bestselling author whose twelve books on mobile have already been referenced in over 100 books by his peers. Rated the most influential expert in mobile by Forbes in December 2011, Tomi speaks regularly at conferences doing about 20 public speakerships annually. With over 250 public speaking engagements, Tomi been seen by a cumulative audience of over 100,000 people on all six inhabited continents. The former Nokia executive has run a consulting practise on digital convergence, interactive media, engagement marketing, high tech and next generation mobile. Tomi is currently based out of Helsinki but supports Fortune 500 sized companies across the globe. His reference client list includes Axiata, Bank of America, BBC, BNP Paribas, China Mobile, Emap, Ericsson, Google, Hewlett-Packard, HSBC, IBM, Intel, LG, MTS, Nokia, NTT DoCoMo, Ogilvy, Orange, RIM, Sanomamedia, Telenor, TeliaSonera, Three, Tigo, Vodafone, etc. To see his full bio and his books, visit Tomi Ahonen lectures at Oxford University's short courses on next generation mobile and digital convergence. Follow him on Twitter as @tomiahonen. Tomi also has a Facebook and Linked In page under his own name. He is available for consulting, speaking engagements and as expert witness, please write to tomi (at) tomiahonen (dot) com

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