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April 25, 2012


Sander van der Wal


Look at the areas list Tomi posted. If you have a problem with the numbers, complain to him, not to me, as the numbers are his, not mine.

Lee williams is one of the people who got Nokia into this situation in the first place.


N9 still is the best phone Nokia has to offer, I'm just considering buying one myself. Yes, there is not much applications for it, but it has Angry Birds! (Where is Angry Birds for Windows Phone?) And very nice multitasking, which might come to Windows Phone in the next few years :-P


I agree Tomi. Nokia will be reduced to a shadow of its former self before the WP7 strategy gets enough traction, if it ever does. Most issues I find with people assessing Nokia (other than yourself) is that they focus entirely on sales figures within the US. Nokia was a mobile phone manufacturer with a truly global reach, except in the US. They simply sold phones everywhere. And offered services in more languages than any other manufacturer. And now Elop has them focused strictly on the US market and MS. Refusing to sell a phone that people want is another jaw dropping mismanagement exercise. Throw all that development cash into the toilet to protect your pet project. Crazy. How this clown still has a job based on share price, market share, sales, is astonishing.



To me it looks like it's Tomi who takes examples from US and e.g. Finland, with somewhat questionable claims on sales boycotts etc. And in response, Tomi gets feedback from many people, arguing his analysis is not necessarily a correct one.

Then again, many people agree with Tomi's view, many don't. You do, I don't. I respect your opinion, you do the same for the one who disagree with you.

Nokia still is global manufacturer with a global reach - with this pace they'll deliver 300-400 million phones all over the World, nothing's changed in that respect. Yes, volumes have come down, but it's still a lot.

I feel US is on top of the discussions due to Nokia's bad history there and now when there is potentially a bit of light at the end of the tunnel, it's only natural there is some enthusiasm, both pro Nokia as well as against them. Secondly, it's US where LTE happens big time (~60% of LTE subs today), along with huge smart phone business. Add the fact that it's Apple's and Google's home turf, so not a surprise it has big focus.


@Prakriti: Hi... sorry, I don't use Twitter, I'm not modern enough (and I also limit my use of internet to leave some room to enjoy life)...

Anyway, apparently disinformation war continues...

UK will get their Lumia 900 with 2 weeks delay because of "Overwhelming" US demand. I thought that was because of connection problems that have to be solved before, but why not...

I'm sure that with a little financial effort, at Compal they're able to manufacture and ship enough L900 for the UK on time, just like Foxconn did with the iPhone and the iPad.

I can't prove that Tomi's numbers are right or wrong... but what I see for sure, is that Nokia's financial situation is really ugly, nobody can deny this, and even Nokia's CEO can't (cf his reaction about the "mixing" lumia results).

So besides what Tomi tells us, there are facts. Is the WP only strategy a success? Clearly not!

Many will tell me to wait next year, when Nokia and WP8 will kick everybody's ass... Soviet Union officials used to say the same about their country until it was financially ruined and collapsed.

How many billions and jobs have to be lost for the situation considered as being critical at Nokia?


@Tomi (and Baron95)

Great news:


It's a marketing strategy that Elop use to say the lumia sales is great, and you should get it... It's a fake!!!!



Nokia capitalization is less then 10B Euro now. So no more then 10B can be lost now from Nokia.
In 2008 at peak, Nokia had almost 100B Euro capitalization, this give you the sense of what OPK and Elop manage do destroy.
Yes, in absolute term OPK did destroy more then Elop, but in percentage nobody could have done better the Elop, -70%

About people that can lose job, this is in the order of 100k, 60k direct employee of Nokia, plus similar for NSN

I think in few quarters, NSN numbers will be looking much better then Nokia numbers



ps: While Nokia is sinking, I would not exclude that Ballmer will try to approach Samsung for promote his OS, this will be the final deadly hit from Microsoft-Elop to Nokia

pps: Jorma is incredible, he is still supporting Elop, even when all evidence show that Elop is bringing quickly into bankrupt Nokia


@elm - tesco may be selling overpriced N9 but you can easily buy one online with much reasonable price (1$ = 1pln/3,16)


I just had a look at some Canadian providers' offers - videotron, Fido, Rogers, Telus - Symbian seems to be still popular. There are even relatively recent models (for a symbian) such as the 500 for example.



60k NSN employees can lose their jobs, due to Nokia's challenges? Wow, I've heard numerous arguments about figures and reasons concerning NSN, but nothing like this.

I'd like to hear why you think that way.


Samsung has already wp7 phones. So what's so special in Nokia havine Wp7? Nothing. Don't you forget that Samusung has enormous R&D capability related to all areas of hardware production needed for handsets. Nokia does not have access to that luxury.

You don't seem to accept this, but Wp7 looks like a handicap's dumbphone, ADHD-kids toy with glaring colourful tiles.

Symbian was shit, but it did not have the same deadlock wibe to it like Microsoft. Do not underestimate psychology of consumer electronics.

2 new emails? No no no...I have tens of new emails. I have dozens of accounts that Wp7 email-app does not allow me to configure. Bing - Shit. Zune - Shit. Skype - Dead Shit. Google search is handicapped. Microsoft hates biggest and most popular infrastructure maker so it is mischievous towards Google apps.

And finally, you nokia engineers seem so thick in the have read your RF-manuals, highschool mathematics and think you are all that. No.... you are just pale stupid looking finno-ugrian apes coming stinking to work while you have read your electronics data books until past midnight... then wanking to internet P£$€ !



Nokia is controlling NSN board.
NSN CEO has took a hard step on requesting 17k head cut out of 59k head count.
It is almost 1 of 3 had to go.
Full NSN location have been wiped out in Germany, strangely also where they had an important customer location (in Munich is located the HQ of T.O2 Germany)
Yes, the acting of Elop is putting Nokia on verge of bankrupt, the acting of NSN CEO is stressing NSN survival possibility.
On paper NSN was always around break even, Nokia Network was generating profit before be transformed in NSN.
During the merge the Network division from 20k Head did jump to 60k Head, but acquired business from Siemens was less then what Nokia Network was having ... so head cut was needed in the past, acting in the rush now it is extremely "dangerous" ... and again a sign of having one of the worst CEO on the market, the absolute worst CEO of history is Elop in Nokia, the second worst is NSN CEO from India.



ps: I think is more easily that NSN get acquired, so from then 40k survived, other 20k will lose the job in the acquisition.
Nokia is not looking to get acquired by anybody, so 60k people can be jobless soon. Total is back to 100k : 60k Nokia + 40k in NSN.
As Baron95 would said ... 100k of dead wood :-(
I see 2 total incompetent CEO, more then 100k of dead wood (AKA unfortunate people)



Thanks for a nice try. Your opinions on what's the role of NSN in this bigger picture of Nokia, are naturally something I can't challenge. Those I respect even though not necessarily agree with. The other statements, you intend to present as facts are on the other hand something I can question. Not only due to number of mistakes you have stated.

To start with, NSN is not reducing 17k from 59k. At the end of 2011, NSN was 73k and it will reduce 17k plus more through divestments. Munich will not be closed, that information has been in the news as well.

Secondly, you seem to see a tight connection between Nokia and NSN and I can tell you it's not as strong as you probably think. You may have seen it in the news that soon NSN should stand on it's own, without Nokia playing any role that even today is relatively small one.


@Louis: "A pink Lumia for girls has been announced, showing that Elop understands segmentation"
Unfortunately, he doesn't understand that that segment also wants glitter:



Interesting, official Q4 Nokia report state 71825 employees .. in Q1 2012: 70483
In fact from a different and more reliable source, I got 59k ... now it is already down to 57k.

Official NSN message was to close Munich, then they come out with a Plan B, still the message was clear, dear customer in Munich, NSN can't care less of you ...

The tight connection between Nokia and NSN, it is the main fact, if NSN make money or lose money, this has a direct impact on the Nokia balance, not on Siemens. Siemens was happy to drop 40k "dead wood", that most of them have a 3 years salary cost for get fired.



ps: The memo from 11.2 from eFlop is the best example of how to destroy a company. The announce to cut 17k people in a single shot, is the 2nd best example to scare the customers, and NSN sell to few customers that expect years of support ... not a mass of consumer, that may be happy to own an obsolete N9 or N8 (obsolete since it will not have any future) ... actually you can replace obsolete, with vintage, and you have can sell antique, people pay extra for get something rare and antique ;-)



OK. I thought we talked about your claim (?) that NSN is suffering due to Nokia's challenges. Maybe not.

I feel, NSN will reduce staff due to it's own problems, not because of what's going on in Nokia.



Yes, NSN is controlled by Nokia, and since Nokia start to lose money, Nokia did forced to take drastic action inside NSN, they need to hurry now to sell it or make it profitable ... out of this it came the 17k cut, that is a bit out of the blue ... act in a rush, it is not the best working mode, especially for weak CEO like Elop and the Indian one.





Fair enough. What would I know, having Telenokia, Nokia Telecommunications, Nokia Networks and NSN paid my salary for over 20 years... ;-)



I hope you are not one of the 17k that will have to go.
But be part of a falling company, having be part of the excellence in the past, must be sad anyhow





I never said I'm still with NSN. But I have been with them long enough and close enough to the top that I can tell you that whatever happens to Nokia, it will not play a role in NSN's future. NSN has it's own strategic focus shift ongoing and hearing about their recent reasonably good wins, I feel their customers still have the trust.

Yep, excellent it was (wasn't the entire industry?), but if I blamed only the merger, I'd take a very simplistic view - similar approach I can see in these blogs: people try to find out why Nokia is in this shape, present their findings as absolute facts, what happened and why and most importantly a somewhat premature funeral of Nokia. I just can't imagine how many people need to go underground should Nokia succeed.

Sad? Not really. A needed change - and an unfortunate one for some people - likely to give positive results. Just like with Nokia.

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