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January 12, 2012



Hey Tomi!

Next time in São Paulo give me an invite to watch the presentation hahah

I studied the fundamental curves with another name in college. It was the innovation adherence analsys. What makes an innovation more succesful then other.

Tomi. Do you see a fundamental curve on Android vs iOS or any other OS?


Actually, it was Kurt Lewin, the gestalt psychologist, who said that there is nothing so practical as a good theory.

As far as PC's go, I think mobile phones don't really replace them for a lot of functions (do you produce this blog on a smartphone?). I expect PC sales will continue to rise slowly as more of the world becomes industrialized, reaching a plateau in two or three more decades. But it is certainly true they have become unexciting, low profit margin commodities


Hi Tomi.

Thanks... I love your article.

* I think the problem with MMS (compared to SMS) were the pricing. Here (in Indonesia), regular MMS cost 10x more than SMS. and there were cheap SMS bundling, but not cheap MMS bundling. So, the MMS were at disadvantage over SMS. I was wondering what keep the carrier for giving an MMS a boost....
* Same thing with Video call. If the price different were only 10%-20%, I think it would be popular among family member.

I was hopping you could give a projection on SMS vs. BBM (Black Berry Messanger) vs. What's app vs. YM (Yahoo Messanger) vs. IRC..... :)
Will yahoo lost the war to What's App?
Will IRC still as big as before the mobile took over the PC?

Once again...
Thanks for this great article.

Juha Autero

Mobile phones were not replacing landline phones, either. Of course mobile phone is better substitute to landline than smartphone is to PC because services they offer are so similar. That doesn't change the fact that smartphones are growing faster than PCs, which means that eventually there will be more smartphones than PCs. That will change markets so that it's preferable to write new software (and services) for smartphones. As people use more smartphones they will find less need for PCs and eventually get rid of them. For example someone that uses his or her PC mostly for email and web surfing starts using smartphone for SMS and web surfing and when it is time to upgrade the PC he or she notices that there is no need to do that because he or she is now using SMS instead of email and does most of web surfing on the phone anyway.

I started to write this comment on my Mac, but then I had to leave and finished it on my phone. Then I learned that this comment form doesn't work on it and now I'm sending it from my Mac again.





Office 2010

Based on the early numbers I prepared a proposal to use mobile phone calls as one of our bundled services (with long-distance calls the other) and took the proposal to my boss. We examined the data and by this time the first internal numbers were coming out and Matti was sold. I had won my argument to make mobile phone calls part of our bundle. At that point, I unknowingly had started the project that would create the world's first fixed-mobile converged service.

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But after that comes the responsiblity to spread the story - and that does mean you have to 'convince' all others - nobody else does know this and you start off as an absolute minority of one against the world. If your facts and logic is sound, you will then find people willing to listen and some willing to accept it.

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