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« Spin and Sin: Why 37 Million Lumia Number Spells Disaster for Nokia (but not for MIcrosoft) | Main | The real Top 13 reasons why Nokia Lumia and Windows Phone will fail, not just in USA but across planet »

January 12, 2012

Comments

@rodrigottr

Hey Tomi!

Next time in São Paulo give me an invite to watch the presentation hahah

I studied the fundamental curves with another name in college. It was the innovation adherence analsys. What makes an innovation more succesful then other.

Tomi. Do you see a fundamental curve on Android vs iOS or any other OS?

eduardo

Actually, it was Kurt Lewin, the gestalt psychologist, who said that there is nothing so practical as a good theory.

As far as PC's go, I think mobile phones don't really replace them for a lot of functions (do you produce this blog on a smartphone?). I expect PC sales will continue to rise slowly as more of the world becomes industrialized, reaching a plateau in two or three more decades. But it is certainly true they have become unexciting, low profit margin commodities

cycnus

Hi Tomi.

First,
Thanks... I love your article.

Second,
* I think the problem with MMS (compared to SMS) were the pricing. Here (in Indonesia), regular MMS cost 10x more than SMS. and there were cheap SMS bundling, but not cheap MMS bundling. So, the MMS were at disadvantage over SMS. I was wondering what keep the carrier for giving an MMS a boost....
* Same thing with Video call. If the price different were only 10%-20%, I think it would be popular among family member.

Third,
I was hopping you could give a projection on SMS vs. BBM (Black Berry Messanger) vs. What's app vs. YM (Yahoo Messanger) vs. IRC..... :)
Will yahoo lost the war to What's App?
Will IRC still as big as before the mobile took over the PC?

Once again...
Thanks for this great article.

Juha Autero

Mobile phones were not replacing landline phones, either. Of course mobile phone is better substitute to landline than smartphone is to PC because services they offer are so similar. That doesn't change the fact that smartphones are growing faster than PCs, which means that eventually there will be more smartphones than PCs. That will change markets so that it's preferable to write new software (and services) for smartphones. As people use more smartphones they will find less need for PCs and eventually get rid of them. For example someone that uses his or her PC mostly for email and web surfing starts using smartphone for SMS and web surfing and when it is time to upgrade the PC he or she notices that there is no need to do that because he or she is now using SMS instead of email and does most of web surfing on the phone anyway.

I started to write this comment on my Mac, but then I had to leave and finished it on my phone. Then I learned that this comment form doesn't work on it and now I'm sending it from my Mac again.

ノースフェイス

羅津、パイオニア、男性は3場所は通年不凍港であり、両方が北朝鮮政府の経済と貿易港によって承認されたままです。

グッチ

同県亘理町荒浜地区にある阿武隈川沿いの堤防。近くに住んでいた男性(60)は2階建て自宅の1階が浸水したが、流失は免れたため「住み慣れた土地を離れたくない」と修復を決意。昨年9月、建設業者に予約金100万円を支払い、年末までに仮設住宅から自宅に戻れるはずだった。

Office 2010

Based on the early numbers I prepared a proposal to use mobile phone calls as one of our bundled services (with long-distance calls the other) and took the proposal to my boss. We examined the data and by this time the first internal numbers were coming out and Matti was sold. I had won my argument to make mobile phone calls part of our bundle. At that point, I unknowingly had started the project that would create the world's first fixed-mobile converged service.

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But after that comes the responsiblity to spread the story - and that does mean you have to 'convince' all others - nobody else does know this and you start off as an absolute minority of one against the world. If your facts and logic is sound, you will then find people willing to listen and some willing to accept it.

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    Tomi Ahonen is a bestselling author whose twelve books on mobile have already been referenced in over 100 books by his peers. Rated the most influential expert in mobile by Forbes in December 2011, Tomi speaks regularly at conferences doing about 20 public speakerships annually. With over 250 public speaking engagements, Tomi been seen by a cumulative audience of over 100,000 people on all six inhabited continents. The former Nokia executive has run a consulting practise on digital convergence, interactive media, engagement marketing, high tech and next generation mobile. Tomi is currently based out of Helsinki but supports Fortune 500 sized companies across the globe. His reference client list includes Axiata, Bank of America, BBC, BNP Paribas, China Mobile, Emap, Ericsson, Google, Hewlett-Packard, HSBC, IBM, Intel, LG, MTS, Nokia, NTT DoCoMo, Ogilvy, Orange, RIM, Sanomamedia, Telenor, TeliaSonera, Three, Tigo, Vodafone, etc. To see his full bio and his books, visit www.tomiahonen.com Tomi Ahonen lectures at Oxford University's short courses on next generation mobile and digital convergence. Follow him on Twitter as @tomiahonen. Tomi also has a Facebook and Linked In page under his own name. He is available for consulting, speaking engagements and as expert witness, please write to tomi (at) tomiahonen (dot) com

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