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« The 2011 Edition of TomiAhonen Almanac has been released | Main | Preview Bloodbath 2: Electric Boogaloo - the smartphone wars in year 2011, will be bloodier still »

February 24, 2011


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Don McLean

@ JMontes | February 26, 2011 at 02:40 PM
> Guess with Microsft - Nokia deal, we may see different result this year.

Well, even with the downfall this year, I'd not think Nokia could slip to #3 this year. HP is more or less flat and RIM is too distant for that

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I think it was Jobs who likened the "traditional PC" to a truck. At one time all "automobiles" were trucks. Now people still buy trucks, but most people get by in a car.

The general purpose PC will continue to decline in importance becoming the "truck" of the new age. There will be folks who need a truck, or have one family truck and lots of pocket/mobile cars (smart phones, tablets).

Apple has risen primarily by leading this change or kicking into high gear the change that was already under weigh.

Cloud computing is not going to harm Apple in the slightest. iOS and Android are going to be the leading "client platforms" for "cloud computing" with a mix of local apps (games and other apps better suited to local processing) and web services.



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Your analogy of the truck is a bunch of baloney. The truck is the top selling catagory in USA. For 2010 the top two selling vehicles are trucks and number 6 or number 10 (depending on source) is also a truck. Three of the top ten selling vehicles are trucks.

Sure if you are rich like Jobs you don't need a truck because you can pay people to do the dirty work for you. If jobs were to go windsurfing or off road, he can have someone else haul and set up the equipment for him while he arrives by limo.

Trucks are about a third of the market. You can't say the same for Apple. So the analogy doesn't work.

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Apple became the world's biggest computer maker by number of computers sold in the year. Then it soon lost its lead when the IBM PC and its clones came using the Microsoft


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    Tomi Ahonen is a bestselling author whose twelve books on mobile have already been referenced in over 100 books by his peers. Rated the most influential expert in mobile by Forbes in December 2011, Tomi speaks regularly at conferences doing about 20 public speakerships annually. With over 250 public speaking engagements, Tomi been seen by a cumulative audience of over 100,000 people on all six inhabited continents. The former Nokia executive has run a consulting practise on digital convergence, interactive media, engagement marketing, high tech and next generation mobile. Tomi is currently based out of Helsinki but supports Fortune 500 sized companies across the globe. His reference client list includes Axiata, Bank of America, BBC, BNP Paribas, China Mobile, Emap, Ericsson, Google, Hewlett-Packard, HSBC, IBM, Intel, LG, MTS, Nokia, NTT DoCoMo, Ogilvy, Orange, RIM, Sanomamedia, Telenor, TeliaSonera, Three, Tigo, Vodafone, etc. To see his full bio and his books, visit Tomi Ahonen lectures at Oxford University's short courses on next generation mobile and digital convergence. Follow him on Twitter as @tomiahonen. Tomi also has a Facebook and Linked In page under his own name. He is available for consulting, speaking engagements and as expert witness, please write to tomi (at) tomiahonen (dot) com

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Tomi Ahonen Almanac 2009

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