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« Announcing my 11th book, this is the TomiAhonen Phone Book, statistics of the handset industry | Main | How You Became Next Mogul in Mobile (and a Millionaire) - the New Year's blog for the New Decade »

December 29, 2010

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Tomi Ahonen

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Hi kdt, Timo, Tim, Stephanie, Alex

kdt - This blog article was clearly about the phones market. There are very many other portable devices, like the iPod Touch and iPad that you mention, and other portable devices like the Playstation Portable, digital cameras, laptop computers, etc. This is NOT about portable devices (which are 'mobile' as in movable). This blog is about 'mobile' devices ie those where the used SERVICE itself is mobile, ie served via the cellular service AND permanently connected. A laptop or iPad with a 3G connection is portable but not mobile.

But if you feel the world of 'mobile' by your definition, what I call portable, is the elephant - you are sadly mistaken in the numbers. Lets take the specifics you mention. The iPad and iPod Touch sold what, about 30 million in 2010? Even if they sold 40 million. The mobile phone handset market sold far in excess of 1.3 Billion. The elephant is the mobile phone, the ant is the other iOS devices. The are so small, they are utterly irrelevant in the sales of digital units, lost in the rounding off error of the total market size, when compared to total phones. Of the world's total population, less than 1% have any kind of non iPhone device that has the iOS operating system. Less than one percent. But 61% of the planet has a mobile phone. Please understand the total difference in scale. What you are interested in, is of course of interest to Apple and Apple fanatics, but in the world of digital convergence, neither iPod Touch nor iPad is nowhere in the scale of generting any interest, except for US based tech pundits who love Apple products..

Timo - good points and I see a lot of merit there, thinking from the start-up point of view. My argument is in return, if the development costs are 1/10th the size (WAP vs App) and all operators already have WAP portals of some kind, where there is FAR LESS congestion than on the app stores with hundreds of thousands of choices - I would think the start-up has far better chances on mobile web than doing an app. What the app store environment DOES provide (as a very long-shot opportunity) is the free app method of getting some visibility. But that to me is still better done on free mobile web rather than free app. But we have to see as the numbers pan out and we get more comparative data.

Tim - thanks! And I appreciate it that you took the time to write. I am 'mature' enough to understand that for every comment left here, there are 10 or more who liked it too but didn't leave a comment, so I am always happy to see the visitors (I see the stats on the blog metrics) and then to see what kind of comments have been left, except occasionally when some leave inappropriate comments haha..

Stephanie - haha, boy you are precise... :-) But yes, I did mean, that XHTML is counted, as is normal HTML and yes, I am happy Opera releases pretty good numbers and they are included already in the stats.

Alex - hey, thanks for the statistics update! Very good numbers.. :-)

Thank you all for the comments

Tomi Ahonen :-)

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So how many is the 'unique' user count? That is 3.7 billion people. It is already over half of the total population of the planet - and considering most of the planet lives in very poor conditions, mobile phones are by a very wide margin the most widely spread technology on the planet. Yes, 54% of all people alive on the planet have a mobile phone.

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