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February 23, 2010

Comments

Boro (Twitexter)

Yes, Tomi - you're right about this one.... We'll be scanning bar codes at the cash register with our mobile phones, transfer the money, and - that's it. Possibly credits cards will be in the form of apps for the phones. Or: telecom companies will simply become banks!

But, also (apart from the money subject): mobile phones can't handle all the content on small screens. That is why Steve Jobs said iPad was the biggest thing he had ever done.

Antoine RJ Wright

@boro, I don't know that "mobile first" has as much to do with consuming content in similar behaviors as much as it means "separating content from context so that content stays relevant." For Google, relevance for them is in advertising and metrics, anything they can push that offers them the ability to leverage content and context for these endeavors. For them, its pretty much the only direction they could go with their market.

Users will benefit, but as usual, we'd have to understand the implications of the amount of analytic information that's being collected and connected so that we make intelligent decisions about content and context in mobile. Ideally, we'd open our mobiles to the streams of most benefit, and close off those that aren't. But, tech doesn't so much work that way (yet?).

Done right, Google will be able to make this decade as notable as the last. What remains to be seen is if "mobile-first" is the right long-term strategy, or a precursor to something better/bigger/more invasive/political/social/etc. My guess is on the latter, and I'd not be surprised if others in the mobile community agreed in that wise - the hardest part is seeing it.

Tomi T Ahonen

Hi Boro, Antoine and American

Thanks for the comments. I'll reply to each individually.

Boro, good points. But please be careful not to assume that small screen is a barrier. We do of course prefer a big screen but small screen is no obstacle as such. Consider the home plasma screen TV and our laptop. If the screen size was the determining factor, TV would have nothing to fear from the internet..

Our kids are perfectly happy to consume videogames, music videos and even movies on tiny screen of mobile phones, PSPs, iPods etc. Don't make the mistake that because you and I don't like the small screen - it is therefore not viable for mobile content. It is VERY viable and VERY big, also for video related content.

Antoine - good points as always. Hey, about Google. I tend to agree that their current business model is strongly ad-focused and makes most of its revenue that way. I dont' see this as automatically so into the future. on the internet (Google's roots) advertising was only viable way to monetize mass market services. But Google are very smart people who have clearly researched the mobile area very well (no doubt monitoring this blog also from time to time haha) and they know that on the internet there are only 2 ways to make money but on mobile there are a total of 6. I would guess that Google will also find clever ways to get into the other 4 lucrative money opportunities on mobile, not just copying their ideas from advertising and the web.

Its not that I would know this, its just my gut saying that this would sound very likely for Google. So keep an eye on them haha..

American - thanks. Good luck with your blog.

Tomi Ahonen :-)

Lars

Hi Tomi:

Great rant as always.. 8-)

I was in the room for the Google keynote at MWC, and it was certainly a refreshing shift from the usual belly button gazing usually offered by the operators there. Several years ago, Arun Sarun from Vodafone spoke there - on and on - about not wanting to become a 'dumb-pipe' I muttered they should focus on being a smart-pipe instead.. at this rate they'll have to settle for being a "happy" dumb-pipe instead.

Anyway, thought it was interesting that Eric noted they are now shipping Android enabled devices by volume on par with the iPhone. All things considered, new WiMo and Symbian, it will be increasingly interesting times ahead..!!

Lars

Joey1058

Well, I have to be honest. Roughly the first third of your post was a dull history lesson I tuned out of. "So what's the point here?" I kept thinking. But you finally started to throw out some numbers that caught my attention.

First worlders have a hard time realizing that a lot of the third worlders STILL haven't obtained a simple mobile phone yet. For many, this will be their only introduction to modern tech. But what a tool they recieve!

The "internet" that we know of today is still a toy for the priviledged. In ten years time the global net will almost exclusively be cellular. And yeah, Google knows it. Their server systems are designed to be dropped into place anywhere the backbone calls for strength. China's politics aside, the Google/China deal was the first great test to see just how robust their backbone really is in deployment. I can easily see server farms in India as well.

But what really opened my eyes was when you mentioned that some nations actually use the phone *entirely* as the financial centerpiece. I knew of the quirky news stories of experimenting with phone payments, but this is really something. It really does level *everything*

I'm glad I read all the way through!

American finance solution

Good article and a nice summation of the problem. My only problem with the analysis is given that much of the population joined the chorus of deregulatory mythology, given vested interest is inclined toward perpetuation of the current system and given a lack of a popular cheerleader for your arguments, I'm not seeing much in the way of change.

putanamosccow

sers will benefit, but as usual, we'd have to understand the implications of the amount of analytic information that's being collected and connected so that we make intelligent decisions about content and context in mobile. Ideally, we'd open our mobiles to the streams of most benefit, and close off those that aren't.

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    Tomi Ahonen is a bestselling author whose twelve books on mobile have already been referenced in over 100 books by his peers. Rated the most influential expert in mobile by Forbes in December 2011, Tomi speaks regularly at conferences doing about 20 public speakerships annually. With over 250 public speaking engagements, Tomi been seen by a cumulative audience of over 100,000 people on all six inhabited continents. The former Nokia executive has run a consulting practise on digital convergence, interactive media, engagement marketing, high tech and next generation mobile. Tomi is currently based out of Helsinki but supports Fortune 500 sized companies across the globe. His reference client list includes Axiata, Bank of America, BBC, BNP Paribas, China Mobile, Emap, Ericsson, Google, Hewlett-Packard, HSBC, IBM, Intel, LG, MTS, Nokia, NTT DoCoMo, Ogilvy, Orange, RIM, Sanomamedia, Telenor, TeliaSonera, Three, Tigo, Vodafone, etc. To see his full bio and his books, visit www.tomiahonen.com Tomi Ahonen lectures at Oxford University's short courses on next generation mobile and digital convergence. Follow him on Twitter as @tomiahonen. Tomi also has a Facebook and Linked In page under his own name. He is available for consulting, speaking engagements and as expert witness, please write to tomi (at) tomiahonen (dot) com

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