I posted on my 20 year forecast (given to the Canadian cellphone industry in Ottawa last week). That posting resonated remarkably strongly on various blogsites and websites. We have received hundreds of extra visitors because of it. Thank you for the coverage and welcome all who visit these pages.
I posted about the presentation and the forecast on three sites. I posted it at the Mobile Applications club of Ecademy where we had lively debate and discussion about it in a thread of 16 replies from Mac Karlekar, Faraz Rizvi, Symon Blomfield, Ramnik, Alex Kerr, Julian Bond, Dave Jennings, Paul Goldingand Simon Cavill, covering such issues and mobile commerce, ownership of customer, miniaturization, Moore's Law, etc. My friend Alex Kerr added a great prediction, that over the next 20 years we'll also add X-ray capability, ie to see through walls. I wish I had thought of that, ha-ha..
I also posted a summary at the Wireless Future club of Tribe (but there was no discussion) and at the English language part of Oh My News in Korea.
Alan kindly posted a mention at his company blogsite at SMLXL's From Interruption to Engagement blogsite/website (and an excellent source for more deep thought pieces on the topics we cover here at this blogsite)
Brian Hayashi of Denver Colorado saw the presentation in Ottawa and wrote about it Envisioning The Future of Cell Phones at ConnectMe Networks
It was with great interest I read a speech by Tomi Ahonen, author of Communities Dominate Brands. The Canadian industry association, CWTA, invited him to deliver the keynote to its celebratory event celebrating 20 years cellular telecoms in Canada, and asked him to look 20 years into their future. I pretty much agree with much of what he says: credit card functionality on phones by 2010, retail acceptance of mobile payments by 2015 to the point where more payments take place over phones than traditional credit cards, and built-in video projectors in phones by 2020. Remember the scene in Star Wars where Luke sees the image of Leia for the first time, floating as if by magic? We're going to go away from watching video on postage stamp-sized screens, to heads up displays
The 3G Portal run by Steve Jones - who lectures with me at the Oxford University 3G courses - was one of the first to run the story
One of my favourites was how Russell Buckley at his Mobile Weblog blogsite mentioned it - he posted a nice picture of the original cast of Star Trek (as I did refer to the Star Trek intergalactic translator in my presentation). Cool, thanks Russell. He wrote about my posting like this
He was asked to forecast the next 20 years for the industry. This is really the realms of sci fi as who could have guessed 20 years ago, for instance, that we'd have the worldwide web as a mass market concept - Arpanet, the web's predecessor had only 2000 or so connected computers in 1985. This was also an era when mobile phones only came as carphones and batteries were massive. Thus, they were the domain of a few, very wealthy people, who really needed to keep in touch
Another site where we triggered a long discussion is at the Telepocalypse blogsite run by Martin Geddes. This was not focused so much on the future of mobile telecoms, but rather the one prediction I threw in that by 2020 the "fixed and free internet" is all but vanished. This triggered heated discussion about the future of the internet, from definitions to money to number of users, to even comparing internet future visions with communism. A long discussion thread with participation from Martin, Patrizia, Yadu Tekele, and Paul Jardine with even our Alan Moore joining in.
Ajit Jaokar's Open Gardens blogsite covered it here under "Tomi Ahonen's Crystal Ball"
Adriana Cronin-Lucas of The Big Blog Company wrote about it like this:
A truly dizzing predictions of the future of mobile from Tomi Ahonen on Communities Dominate Brands... I was getting quite excited by 2010 what with a 3.5G phone with a 5 Megapixel optical zoom cameraphone with WiFi type speeds and built-in TV tuners, and a gigabyte size hard drive (like today’s i-Pods). The smallest phones are the size of a thick credit card.
and our dear friend Jackie Danicki, blogger and moblogger wrote about it at her blogsite The Hole like this:
One of the coolest people I know, mobile expert Tomi Ahonen, writes at the blog for Communities Dominate Brands, the book he wrote with one of the other coolest people I know, Alan Moore of SMLXL, of his predictions for mobile progress in the next 20 years. This is based on a keynote speech he gave for the CWTA's celebration of 20 years of mobile telephony in Canada, but no matter what country you're in, Tomi's glimpse into the future is exciting.
Thank you Jackie, kiss-kiss-kiss..
I am sure there have been many more that we have missed, and apologise for all of those. We also strongly welcome all new visitors to our Communities Dominate Brands blogsite. Please do visit us again, and take a look at our book. It is the only book on the business of digitally connected communities, from blogging, gaming, dating, rating to cellphone based smart mobs. And yes, if you are interested in the future of mobile telecoms (my 20 year forecast) then you must read the chapter of the book on Generation-C.
For those who have not seen it, obviously read the full 20 year prediction here - Original Ahonen 20 year prediction for mobile telecoms.
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