We do have some clear clarity on the Top 10 smartphones that we can do pretty good preview of what it looks like.
UPDATE and Correction !!! - Thank you for comment by HonestAccounting. Motorola has surprised us with a stellar Q2 and shipped 8.6M smartphones. As Nokia was on the bubble at 10th before this, and now Motorola jumps back into the Top 10, that pushes Nokia out. You heard it here first Nokia/Microsoft falls out of the Top 10 first time in its history, the inventor of smartphones doesn't fit into 10 largest smartphone makers.
We have rare Samsung definite (and almsot precise) numbers. nice. Two of the four analyst houses already gave their numbers and a couple of Chinese makers have given H1 numbers (six months) which allows us to do a good guesstimate of their Q2 numbers. So this is the rough ranking and market share of the Top 10:
Samsung definitely number 1, at 74.1M units market share about 25%
Apple definitely number 2, at 35.2M units market share about 11%
Battle for third place is between Lenovo (we don't know yet and Huwaei)
Next is then Huawei at 3 or 4, with 15.6M units and about 5%
Then fourth or fifth depending on Lenovo is LG with 14.5M units and 5% market share
That is the top 5, Lenovo is almost definitely in the Top 5. Note, after the Motorola acquisition is completed, Lenovo leaps easily to number 3
Sixth place we have a fight between three Chinese brands: Xiaomi, ZTE and Coolpad. Any one could be sixth, seventh or eighth.
Xiaomi we know is 11.7M units and about 4% market share
Ninth is Sony at 8.8M units and about 3% market share
Tenth is Motorola (Google) at 8.6 M units and about 3% market share. Note Moto is in the process of being acquired by Lenovo
Tenth we know is Microsoft-Nokia at 7.7M units and under 3% market share
(HTC did not return back into the Top 10, they are under this number, and the other up-and-comings from China and India are not yet big enough to challenge for a Top 10 slot. Blackberry is nowhere even in the Top 12, they may fall out of Top 20 haha)
Total market roughly 295M units smartphones in Q2 up about 2% from Q1
In the OS wars its 85% Android, 11% iPhone and who cares about the last 4% haha...
Thats for you at this stage, I will give full Q2 results when the remaining data is available or can be estimated...