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March 22, 2012

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Aniko - loyal Nokia client so far

@vladkr

I was wonder if anybody will ask – good point and congrats for you :-) . FM receiver use headphones wires connected to 3.5 jack as antenna. I suppose transmitter would use it in similar way. Walki-talkie use one and the same antenna for receiving and transmitting. As transmissions without proper antenna can fry transmitter (hence damage more hardware also) then 3.5jack can be a kind of hardware key enabling transmitting when present (a loop closed), a power of signal should be considered also. In case of FM radio it is question of quality but about transmitting more things ought to be considered. Like with Mr E. - when he is receiving/listening then less damages are possible, when he is transmitting/talking then more damages are possible, the only difference is transmitter can fry internals only, but he can fry almost everything in direct and indirect range – I don't have in mind any particular person of course.

N9 has got 3 antennas 1) GPS antenna 2) Bluetooth and WLAN antenna 3) cellular network antenna located in following way:
________
|1 | up
|1 O |
| back |
| camera |
| 2|
| 2|
| |
|33333333| bottom

Who cares how we name developers? I only care I can buy needed software. And in many cases the same software houses sale their soft for other platform, they just port software generating income from other systems to another one, so MeeGo. And make business, don't care whether it will be called ecosystem or community. Waste of time.

@gzost

You are wrong. Point is that desktop applications can be used as designed, eg. LibreOffice allow using it and work, however of course this can be discussed a long time – anyway with N9 this works, hence N9 already is a tablet or palmtop. Keyboard & mouse can be attached via Bluetooth as designed, using software aviable free in Nokia store.

About battery. Some mobiles do not allow battery replacement, Nokia N9 allows. Who ought to do it is a question of preferences. I replace batteries for my Ma, Pa and GrandMa in even much more simple mobiles.

There is no microSD port, but can be attached via USB, and USB can be used for mass storage purposes, N9 allow this. To my knoleadge Lumia 800 do not allow this at all, only Zune can do anything and in limited by Zune range only. For me as a user this is significant. Also when USB host mode software will be finished micrSD card reader via USB can be attached and microSD card could be used. So possible in near future.

There is no HDMI. TV-out feature does not cover HDMI spec. USB can also be used in similar way when TV allows such connection.

Can't mirror the UI over DLNA now. But when adequate software will be developed? Why not? Technically seems this could be possible. I don't know any software for this purpose now.

1000 titles = 70k apps?? No, never. There are apps that does what (at last) I want it to do. This is significant, and very important. And please note that only about a few months has passed from launch, and core markets with the biggest numbers of developers still are not receiving N9 (like USA, Germany, UK etc.), what do not make development easier and the ecosystem/community has suffered Elop's declaration of “dead and unmaitained system” - when this all is taken under consideration and fact that software aviable is of really of good quality then I dare to claim this is success. 1000 was at the end of 2011 in times of MeeGo PR1.1, not all English and none Chinese software were counted that time. And now this is certainly much more. I don't know actual numbers. Everyday I am finding a new software I haven't seen before, and number of paid is growing. This is just simply growing and alive.

Peter

You are publishing exactly my thoughts. I happily paid 650 EUR for my current N900 and I would actually pay 800 EUR for a new N950. If anyone of you guys appear to own an N950 and want to get rid of it, please contact me. a few friens of mine own a N950 but they won't sell it at any reasonable price.

Titanium

Nokia hired Elop because he is supposed to be a SW guy and SW was considered the big problem of Nokia at the time. But now Nokia is primarily an HW company so no need to keep Elop.

The BoD should simply realize that Nokia doesn't need Elop anymore, but need a CEO with connections with mobile operators who understand the market

Baron95

So Tomi, Nokia has 130,000 employees. Is that the right number, too much, too little? You gave a lot of advice, but did not address the fact that Nokia's revenue per employee are disgracefully low compared to its peers.

In fact, that is Elop's and the boards biggest failure, and why investors won't touch it. Elop in one year only managed to shrink the bloated work force from 132,000 to 130,000. Ridiculous.

Until Nokia unloads NSN and get it's workforce to 60,000 trending to 30,000, there is no hope.

Anyway, just curious as to why in your recipe to fix Nokia, there was no mention of addressing the workforce size.

dr zorg

@Baron95

Perhaps you should get fired from your own job.

Then we'll gladly listen to you pontificating on how many workers Nokia needs.

michael

"The sane CEO would fully support and expand and capitalize on Nokia's leadership in cloud based solutions."

Nokia's leadership in cloud based solutions!!! You must be kidding!!!

This is the official groundhog day blog. No doubt about it.

Arguing that Symbian has future, just because it had succesful past is amazing.

It is now plain clear why Nokia failed. Just as Tomi is, OPK's Nokia was as well stuck in the past, thinking about glory days.

Digging up Symbian to save Nokia makes as much sense as if Kodak decided to make a "fresh drive" with film based cameras.

Tomi, you are marketing guru, you have your ways with numbers, analysis and so forth, but you are very thin with technology-

peter

tomi,

I am glad that you finaly realized that your finnihs hero might be the criminal as chirman of the board.

I had pointed out 12 months ago, Steven Elop is a criminal whose mission is to destroy nokia under the guise of Trojan Horse of microsoft.

I had pointed out 6 months, Jorma Ollila is the most vicious criminal who had direct connection and followed the instruction to destroy nokia for the benefits of Wall Street Naked Short Sellers and FBI/CIA.

Now talking about how to save nokia.
1. Jorma Olliva, the most vicious viper, will be gone after May 3 shareholders meeting. I would suggest Finnish government to investigate him for betraying Finland to destroy nokia from inside.

2. Transfer all executive power to COO from CEO Steven Elop. Let Elop stay in his CEO office but has zero power to do any thing till his contract to expire.

3. Keep Lumia line as one of nokia product lines, charge patents fee from microsft

4. Set a press conference, declare the continuing support of Symbian and Megoo

5. Increase Symbian screen resolution to 800x480 for middle range product;

6. Port 41 mp camera to WP8 and Meego, enlarge meego screen size to 4.3 inch with higher resolution 1024x640

7. increase navtaq maps data fees while keep nokia maps free on all nokia phones

8. bring back nokia talents and execute above strategy flawlessly and restore nokia's ecosystem to #1.

Regards,
Peter

sebastien zopin

> The N950 is comprehensively loved by all who have used the device as an exceptionally solid premium smartphone from Nokia.

Way to pull things out thin air. All who received N950 are bound by contract (the phones are not their property, borrowed) to not speak badly about the devices. Even if you do get some to break this, seems you haven't. Keyboard sucks, OS is not designed for landscape... Don't get me wrong I would love to get my hands on one of those, but above quote is bs

sebastien zopin

> I am saying the magical MeeGo devices, N9 and N950 have to be sold globally now, now when they are hot, and can command a good price, and bring Nokia back to profits

You are underesimating the fact that most N9 buyers are maemo/meego/opensource/linux enthusiast that rushed to the latest platform/device interesting for them. Poorer ones will wait for secondhand ones once that market gets filled with apple fanboy devices who bought it as a new toy and don't find most fart-apps their friends go crazy about. It would need a LOT of investment on Nokia part to make app ecosystem (your definition of that word is also shaky, Qt is not an ecosystem with so little devs/roi, it's a coding language, you can code in C/C++, which are biggest ecosystems in your understanding, on maemo/meego, doesn't matter really)

Aniko - loyal customer so far

Somebody ask about possible scenarios. Reading all this I've concluded that if MS would decide to separate then it would gain mobile phones production chain based on Compal (they will go with Microsoft as have nothing binding with Nokia) and Windows reworked by Nokia staff to form more or less acceptable by markets, also could overpay some needed Nokia employee who could develop it further but already in frames of Microsoft. When Microsoft can produce Xbox consoles then why not to produce mobiles on his own? And in sucha case Nokia would remain with destructed reputation, decomposed manufacturing chain, disappointed customers, decomposed staff and employees uncertain about company's future. However Microsoft would reach another new departament, or even division of mobile phones manufacturing and mobile software sales. When you play with shark you should be prepared that it can bite you or decapitate your head, just because this is his immanent nature, not any hard feelings. Just this is it's evolved DNA and instincts.

sebastien zopin

> Symbian today can power smartphones that cost less than 100 dollars (unsubsidised price). Windows Phone lowest price Lumia costs 250 dollars (unsubsidised price).

Can you back that up? Chase for superphones actually made most Symbian phones resource hogs (N97 and mini fiasco was because of this exactly - superphone chase without proper hardware backing, and these are far from africa cash standard), maybe after Belle it will change, but I cannot find single Symbian smartphone featurepacked and working below 100$. Asha line is designed for this market anyways, both price and features seem cut specially for that. Argument that cheapest Lumia is above average price for this market seems moot

Peter

May I suggest a scenario consistent with Mr. Elop's actions upto now?

Consider Microsoft's point of view (and the point of view of Mr. Elop's long-time employer and later pre-Nokia business partner):

Nokia venture as a test drive for Windows Phone and testing the market for Windows 8. In the case of failure, this as a bonus offers a perfect PR front for a nice little fallback plan, that will kind of create a high-margin, high-profit, microsoft-friendly (due to the licensing deal) but somewhat changed Nokia...

Also consider that Microsoft is already VERY PROFITABLE in the mobile sector, just not with products, but rather with reuse of it's own pre-existing IP: licensing to less-than-willing Android makers.

So a dying Nokia can still be dissected to extract a very profitable entity consisting just of a small number of lawyers and Nokia's patent pool: An IP troll is near impossible to attack, and given quality patents, is a sure fire method to print money.

Not necessarily money shared with Microsoft directly. But gaining a 'muppet' in the smart phone wars and harming Microsofts main competitors (also from other markets...) without any risk of PR fall-out is a huge !profit! for Microsoft.

Would be nice, if this explanation attempt could be discounted. Or if there are facts NOT fitting the hypothesis...

Would be nicer still if the corpse-to-be would beg to differ to both this sketch and Mr. Elop and somehow recover without either...

===

as to Mr. Elop being still CEO: the "burning platforms" message fits the burning-bridges idea of eliminating all alternatives to force unwilling people to follow leaders regardless of sanity and chances of survival. Having destroyed any alternatives and fallback options, regardless of the damage to Nokia, Mr. Elop ruthlessly increased his chances to remain CEO in troubled times (mostly though of his own making).

anon

Java is effectively an ecosystem. Covering all mobiles everywhere. Why is Sun not the Apple???

karlim

It’s so interesting to learn that most of the commenters here - Peter, elm, many others - who insist on those crazy conspiracy theories - are also shareholders of Nokia. Who just saw their Nokia investment crash over the last year.

Damn. The length people will go to put the blame for their poor investment decisions on someone else, so they can believe it’s not their own fault. Just to be able to tell themselves - I was smart! I was right! If not for those corrupt insider f^#*$rs!

And now that I think of it, it’s quite common.

I’ve made some very poor stock investment decisions in my life too. And watched/participated in stock board discussions as my investment went down the drain. In one case -bought on margin - so my account went to a pretty good negative balance by the time my broker closed it. Luckily - never went down that road - blaming someone else for it.

The parties at fault were always the same for those who wanted to blame someone else. #1 and most classic - shortseller funds manipulating stock price. #2 some huge funds doing this for some nefarious purpose. #3 Corrupt management doing it for their own gain, pushing the stock price down to sell out to someone or make money some other way - insider trades, shorting, backroom deals, etc; - whatever goes

Reality check, guys. Investing in individual stocks is inherently a very risky thing. With huge potential upside, and huge potential loss.

You took a gamble and lost. And there’s no one else to blame but yourself.

In most cases where there is a huge loss - the main reason is a deep fault in the main company business model. Many people see it and scream about it. The smarter/savvier ones even short the stock. And we just choose to ignore it.

The management corruption or incompetence like in the case of Enron or Worldcomm or Kodak or Olympus comes after that. Usually when management tries to paint a good picture and hide the flaws in business model to keep the music going just for a little bit more. And/or don’t know how to turn the company around. They just put their heads in the sand and hope that maybe things will work out somehow. Until reality catches up..

Just like it was with Nokia when OPK was in the middle of his OVI online services/Symbian reinvention/Foundation folly in the face of iPhone and Android. With his price dumping to inflate market share numbers.

Don’t tell me Baron , Lee and many others weren’t telling you the very same thing 15 months ago.

Here’s few questions?

Why the heck you are even here, still? As Nokia shareholders? Venting your hurt feelings and dreaming up crazy conspiracy theories? Even when you claim your saw this corrupt thing/through Elop Trojan Horse through 13 months ago - as soon as MSFT deal was announced? Bleeding your own money and hoping for impossible things. Like small shareholder revolt, even if you also think the big U.S. funds call all the shots? Is the satisfaction you get by ranting here worth the money you lost in Nokia stock in the last year?

Or do you still think the world is fair, good guys always win? And you are among those right and good one’s who will be made true somehow? When some higher power (in the form of Finnish government, united small shareholders or someone else) will soon interfere, kick out the U.S funds, banish Elop and restore Nokia to former glory?

Baron95

Karlim, don't waste your breath. Tomi and his followers don't understand leading indicators vs trailing indicators. Tomi reports on volume sales only and only in the past. He clings to his "all was great in Q4/2010" based on sell-in sales volume to the channel. He can't comprehend, that that is not an indication of what was happening in Q4/2010, let alone future trends.

Leading indicators for the board was the ratio of sell through to sell-in, which had been in free-fall for Nokia all through 2010. Leading indicators for the board was the channel stuffing and the need to force-bundle Symbian smartphones with S40 main line to maintain sales. Leading indicators was the fact that in every country, starting with the US, then Canada/UK, then Western Europe, etc, etc, where iPhone + Android_Response became widely available by multiple operators, caused Nokia sales to collapse.

The board and Elop and smart analysts knew all that. They could care less about past volumes or how many things Nokia was first in. All are rear view stats. Tomi makes recommendations using rear view stats. Like Lumia's first quarter stats. Silly really. But apparently it is convenient to avoid future trends. That is where the money is - spotting future trends.

That is what Elop and the board are pursuing. They are trying to intercept the PC-Tablet-Phone-GameConsole-TV ecosystem race. There will only be 3 viable ecosystems in 2014.

1 - Apple/iOS-OSX - closed to Nokia.
2 - Google - Android - too crowded with no special concessions to Nokia offered.
3 - Windows 8 - at the ground level, with no dominant OEM, offering concessions and $$$ to Nokia.

Nokia may succeed or it may fail. But the strategy is sound. The early execution is promising, except that Elop needs to yield the knife harder to cut the dead-wood faster.

Tomi and the "rear-view" crowd will be increasingly despondent, as the world passes them by. Really sad. As this blog could be contributing to serious analysis of the ecosystem wars of 2013/2014 instead of being stuck in the past.

Alexandre Strube

You say a lot of good stuff. But you have no idea of what you are talking about on developing countries, seriously. Get your facts straight.

MB

“We’re the No. 1 app in the Windows Phone app store, but it’s a big undertaking to support it, and you have to completely rewrite the application,” Peter Vesterbacka, chief marketing officer of the game’s maker, Rovio Entertainment Oy, said in an interview on Bloomberg Television. Rovio has no plans to release “Angry Birds Space” on the Windows Phone platform, he said.


Looks like NOK could get delisted in 2012.

Andy

Here is a longer version. Basically, the No. 1 Windows Phone app developer says that we won't support the platform in the future as there is now way of making profits.

Note that he does _not_ say "we may consider supporting other platforms in the future", as would be expected. He says that they are not even considering. The only way to interpret this is that even the best selling WP app is nowhere near of being profitable. So much about the third ecosystem.
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-03-22/-angry-birds-space-edition-skips-windows-phone-in-blow-to-nokia.html

So Vatar

Baron, can I get also from the stuff you are smoking?

"Nokia may succeed or it may fail. But the strategy is sound. The early execution is promising, except that Elop needs to yield the knife harder to cut the dead-wood faster."

So, it is a "sound strategy" to put all eggs into a failing platform?

"Early execution is promising"? Like announcing death of Symbian and MeeGo without being able to deliver the new oh-so-great technology for 9 months or so?

Looking forward and recognizing trends is great. Too bad when the trends turn out to go into the wrong direction once the real numbers come in. So, how many Windows phones were sold a year ago? And how many are sold today? Ahh, sound strategy, promising execution. Dismal results? - Who cares.

Aniko - previously loyal Nokia client

I am just a trend setter, one of millions. Once upon a time I set trend for Symbian, I put my share to set Nokia N9 trend, and beleive me I am still setting NO&NEVER EVER trend for Windows. You can do with this what you want. Even when I will be gifted with Xbox still WP is not an option. When I am reading all windows-fanboys-PR acress the internet and compare this to numbers I am loosing my loyality for Nokia. It comes from fresh approach and userfriendlyness and useability of Symbian and MeeGo so Nokia N9. Windows does nothing I am interested in. Besides I vave this all in my netbook, which is 4 or 5 times cheaper. And I also has paid higier price for staff manufactured without breaking Human Rights. I have seen suicides around iPhone manufacturing. I don't wan't to pay every year for Windows last-new-better-hiper version. Recently it has realised that micorsoft store with Windows Mobile applications has been closed and because of that user must pay for the second time for the same applications, as there is no way to use again already bought and paid for software from that store!! And the same will be with Windows at Nokia. For those and many other reasons windows will never be in mobile. Microsoft just reminds me scientology church - we know better we will free you - but without Microsoft I am still free user, and don't have in mind to change it. And I am stiked to my Nokia N9 for years already. Like before to Symbian. You can use it for bussiness or go and die in pain. I have stated my already taken decission so many times that Mr Elop and Nokia had a chance to hear it. Many times. And you know, if nobody want to hear your complaints from certain point of time you start to look other options. For myself I will buy one more or two more Nokia N9 to have reserve for nearest years. Perhaps good idea would be also to get back to Symbian? I does what I want, I have everything for it, Nokia N8 with Bella is just "walkking beauty". I will consider perhaps Tizen or Android or perhaps some chinese linux of "unknown" or "unspeakable" name. I am affraid dear Nokia from certain point with Elop's lieadership in his infinite wisdom you can go f%&^k yourself in your own spice of Windows.
@to somebody above: Android market is crowded - this means there are money to earn, it is wanted and nothing more. iOS is closed as Apple has wise policy for now and future.
With window are money but first of all money for Microsoft.

I am loyal Nokia so far, but this not change my mind and I just don't want Windows. If would be different I already would have a phone with Windows - WTF why you don't want to see me as your client dear Nokia?? You can't just wash my brain with marketing, I feel hesitated. Whatever. I spoken my words, did my duty and paid contribution for "loyal client", now I am just tired. Need to get back to real life from Windows illusion. I just liked Nokia in my pocket, and I do not reconise Lumia as Nokia phone, but only Windows host. Any hardware can do this, not necessary made by Nokia and seems you completely has forgotten about this. And also the same way seems you all in Nokia has already forgoten about me, small not important customer who paid for Nokia phone. Perhaps you will want to meet me again somewhere in future, perhaps. Hope you will be lucky (without me - when you have choosen Windows, but not me). ...
...
......

;-(

Analyst

My prediction is that around December 2012 Nokia will file for bankruptcy. This company is beyond repair.

Sander van der Wal

There is always a plan B for Nokia, which is to adopt Android. Plan B will mean that they are one of the many OEM's selling standard stuff, but given their scale and expertise they should be able to make good money.

But they have to try to stay close to the top, and WP offers them the least worse change of staying there. Given the way they completely and utterly blew their incredible lead in smartphones, it is more than they deserve. For Nokia to die in smartphones, they should drop WP and revive MeeGo.

elm70

@Andy

"The only way to interpret this is that even the best selling WP app is nowhere near of being profitable. So much about the third ecosystem"

I need to correct you: Angry Bird it is not the best selling, it is just the most download.
Since it is download for free, Rovio can make money only on Ads ... clearly the mass of Ads and the efficiency of Ads over iOS and Android are way better.

Anyhow, Nokia should buy Rovio, right now ! ... Before Rovio did effect Nokia sales since their Birds was on iOS and not on Symbian S60, only on Symbian ^3 the Angry Birds did arrive, and was already a problem for Nokia.
Now if Rovio will boycott Windows Phones, it will be one more reason for not buy an WP and take an iOS or Android

Tchuss

e_lm_70

cycnus

It seems to me that the insane CEO knows how to devalue their flagship faster:
http://www.phonearena.com/news/Nokia-paying-AT-T-millions-to-make-the-Lumia-900-an-exclusive-phone-of-front-line-employees_id28366

Per

USA wants to own all eco-systems for mobile phones. This takeover is deeper than just Microsoft and Nokia.

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