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« Final Numbers Q2 of 2010 for Smartphone Market Shares | Main | Is the 50 Billion mobile subscriber number feasible for this decade? »

August 30, 2010

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Henry Sinn

Tomi,
Another comprehensive insight into our future in mobile with history and trends to support the move.

The phone is the PC already. The friendly external input and output devices are not yet being widely used [screen & keyboard].. "Watch this space" as the saying goes.
How long will it be before most of us "sit down" and plug in a number of devices to our "PC" to operate it for a lengthy period of time?

You mention convergence.
You mention computers, the $500b advertising industry, mobile payments, Music, recording [images & sound] and you mention the internet and search[ing].

Why are we searching?
[you know the answer to that question from our correspondence]
Why can't we simply download [and possibly pay for] all the things that we are currently interested in [music, movies, news, events, deals of interest etc etc] - straight to the place we want it - our "PC" [phone]?

Why do we NEED the old PC [desk/lap]?

How long do you think it will be before we see this change?

Alexander

Agree with Henry - for a lot of tasks mobile phones + external peripherals might replace PCs.
My phone does email, browsing, music, videos, navigation, downloads podcasts, VoIP etc., i.e. effectively 90+ of all my non-business computer use. With models like the upcoming N8, which already have HDMI (though, unfortunately, not with a native-res UI) and the possibility to connect bluetooth mouse/keyboard, it's getting close to where you can just connect it to your TV, add a keyboard, and, on the bigger screen with higher resolution, have everything you really need at home, including some light document editing.
Consequently, for my next gadget purchase, a new mobile phone is more important than a new laptop.
(My current mobile has already replaced MP3-Player and digital camera.)

Henry Sinn

Interesting space isn’t it..

Most new, high-end phones now have 1Ghz processors, 1G memory [broken up a little (RAM/ROM) / give or take a bit /] and up to / around 64Gb of storage.

Do those specifications sound familiar?
Surely this is a basis for the next computing platform…
The “human factor” input and output mechanisms are the only limiting factor for full time desk / laptop computing.

There’s a well known phone company that won’t let you store files or easily plug in external peripherals. They also block many elements of the Internet as we know it [The limitations of which are amplified on a bigger screen / longer Internet browsing sessions]. It’s quite simply not a real computing environment. This is probably due to their interest in their other lines of business and the possible cannibalisation of that market.

On the flip side, you have another well known phone company that “out of the box” allows you to plug in external screens and connect Bluetooth keyboards and mouse – and their next generation units will “out of the box” allow you to connect anything via USB. There are no Internet limitations and their current and future platforms allow real computing like / multitasking environments.

What are we going to be doing 5 years from now and HOW and on WHAT type of device are we going to be doing it?

Every element of this article is pointing to a converged platform in line with the second option.


Henry Sinn

I forgot

“But what about apps?”

Apps, apps, apps, Apple, Apple, Apple, Segway, Segway, Segway, blah, blah, blah.

So what? Who cares?
Don’t get me wrong here. I have apps on “all my computing devices” and many of them are key to my daily activities. I love many of them and couldn’t imagine a world without them. But there is a mad fuss that Tomi keeps trying to point out to a great mass of people that clearly can’t see past their nose. Fools Gold.

Remember your computer from 20 odd years ago? Apps, Apps and more apps.
Then there was a change.
Do you know who Jim Clark and Marc Andreessen are and why the reference?

What are you doing tonight? What are you doing this week-end? What are your interests? Do you have an app for that?
NO – you don’t. Your interests keep changing.
YES – you do – It’s called a browser.

We all want to know what’s out there [relating to our CURRENT INTEREST]. We’re all open to the reception of a deal, giveaway or some related offer of value [relating to our CURRENT INTEREST]. There’s $500 odd billion being spent across all the 7 mass mediums all with little to no effect. You’re an adult in a modern world. You know what I’m talking about. You are surrounded by it. You have grown up with it.
For the most part it doesn’t interest you.

There’s a flip side to everything… There is of course another way to get what you WANT relating to your current interest [that Tomi knows about]. Feel free to contact me to discuss. henryDOTsinn@digitallDOTnetDOTau


There’ll never be an app to ‘explore’ our current interests except a browser. Our current interest is current. It keeps changing. Get you business browsable on a phone. It’s step one for every customer.

Every element of this blog Tomi has compiled will soon be at “arms length”. Your phone will have terabytes of data, will connect to all sorts of things in all sorts of ways and will be the payment mechanism for most, if not all of your purchases [be it SMS, MMS, NFC / Credit, or even an app]. All things that interest you will come to you [on your phone] because you have asked for them.

Why are we still “searching”?

Tomi Ahonn

Hi Henry and Alexander

Great comments. Hey, I am at a business lounge here in Johannesburg on a connecting flight to Brazil so I won't have time now to respond, but great points and will of course come back later to comment fully.

Cheers!

Tomi :-)

Brian S Hall

A lot of great stuff here! So much, I'll need about a day to digest it all and respond.

Astrology Consultant

Nice article keep it up

Tomi Ahonen

Hi everybody

I have been having an exceptionally rough week of travel, started in Asia, then North America and now am in Europe. Will have a more 'normal' week next week, and will be responding to all of you, so please keep the comments coming

Tomi Ahonen :-)

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HI..Tomi..I am at a business lounge here in Johannesburg on a connecting flight to Brazil so I won't have time now to respond, but great points and will of course come back later to comment fully.

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Great comments. Hey, I am at a business lounge here in Johannesburg on a connecting flight to Brazil so I won't have time now to respond, but great points and will of course come back later to comment fully.

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Right On!

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    Tomi Ahonen is a bestselling author whose twelve books on mobile have already been referenced in over 100 books by his peers. Rated the most influential expert in mobile by Forbes in December 2011, Tomi speaks regularly at conferences doing about 20 public speakerships annually. With over 250 public speaking engagements, Tomi been seen by a cumulative audience of over 100,000 people on all six inhabited continents. The former Nokia executive has run a consulting practise on digital convergence, interactive media, engagement marketing, high tech and next generation mobile. Tomi is currently based out of Hong Kong but supports Fortune 500 sized companies across the globe. His reference client list includes Axiata, Bank of America, BBC, BNP Paribas, China Mobile, Emap, Ericsson, Google, Hewlett-Packard, HSBC, IBM, Intel, LG, MTS, Nokia, NTT DoCoMo, Ogilvy, Orange, RIM, Sanomamedia, Telenor, TeliaSonera, Three, Tigo, Vodafone, etc. To see his full bio and his books, visit www.tomiahonen.com Tomi Ahonen lectures at Oxford University's short courses on next generation mobile and digital convergence. Follow him on Twitter as @tomiahonen. Tomi also has a Facebook and Linked In page under his own name. He is available for consulting, speaking engagements and as expert witness, please write to tomi (at) tomiahonen (dot) com

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